Our Scary Future

The future is a scary concept, there are often moments where I find myself wondering what kind of world my children will live in. Will they be assisted by their own personal robot and commuting to work via drones? Or will they be living on an entirely different planet because our old world became too polluted and global warming killed our mother nature? My vision of the future has been influenced and adapted through my research of films, articles and statistics that reveal possible states for our future. I have reached a new understanding whereby my research has guided me to be more environmentally aware.

I have recently watched the film ‘Interstellar’ featuring Mathew McConaughey which portrays concerning ideas about the Earth’s future. Figure 1 portrays scenes of crop blights and dust storms show the climate’s damaging impact on agriculture and the threat of human existence. Although the film is fiction, this idea does not seem impossible. Statistics show “more than 30% of Australia’s agricultural land is considered ‘severely degraded’” (coolauatralia.org), which means our food crops are at a high risk. We need to focus on food security and make sure we can secure our agricultural land for the next generation.

Interstellar.png

Figure 1 (Interstellar, 2014)

 

In the animated film ‘Wall-E’ we are introduced to the idea of an abandoned and extremely polluted world, see figure 2. Similar to Interstellar, this notion is a possible future. The alarming rate of the pollution our world produces has extremely negative impacts on our environment. The film also portrays a plausible future of robot figures. With the rate of our growing technology, it is clear that artificial intelligence lies within the probable category for our future.

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Figure 2 (WALL-E, 2008)

An interesting but slightly chilling website calculates the chance of your job being taken over by a robot – my result was a 67% chance of this happening. Of course robots are nothing new, they have aided us in the industrial department for many years, they are incredibly proficient, precise and quick however, “they are, for the most part, blind actors in a tightly choreographed performance”, (Ford, M. 2015). A human will need to engage in some point of the production process as robots are designed to suit only one job, they cannot see what the human brain can.

If we design robots to complete a specific job with no mistakes, this would be a very positive thing. In the film ‘I, Robot’, Will Smith is pictured (see figure 3) in a self-driving car traveling at a fast pace in a tunnel before the evil robots try to kill him and then he switches to manual mode. Australia is already testing this artificial intelligence on our roads. Self-driving cars with zero faults could mean no car accidents and deaths on the road, no traffic and the elderly could get around with ease. Although there are many positives to this probable future, we must consider the reduction of employment in the car industry, this decrease will affect thousands of people around the world. The risk of redundancy revolves around artificial intelligence, we need to ensure new jobs are created to cater for this way of the future.

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Figure 3(I, Robot, 2004)

 

Blog Post 2 References:

Byrd, J. Spraggon, B. O’Neill, M. & Liddy, M. 2017, Could a Robot do your Job?, ABC, Australia, viewed 14 October 2018, <https://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-08-08/could-a-robot-do-your-job-artificial-intelligence/8782174&gt;.

Coolaustralia.org, 2018, Pollution is Everywhere, Australia, viewed 14 October 2018, <https://www.coolaustralia.org/pollution-is-everywhere-primary/&gt;.

Ford, M. 2015, Rise of the Robots, Basic Books, New York.

Interstellar, 2014, motion picture, Warner Bros. Entertainment Inc. United States and United Kingdom.

I, Robot, 2004, motion picture, 20thCentury Fox, United States.

WALL-E, 2008, motion picture, Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures, United States.

 

Lets save our food!

The mass production of food plays an important role in our future as we begin to face extreme climate change conditions that negatively impact our world’s agriculture. Our authorities need to take action and start researching and designing technologies to assist our farmers in response to the earth’s concerning climate. The dangers of droughts, floods, cyclones and other natural disasters expose farmers to a high risk of losing their food crops.

Throughout history, it is obvious to researchers that technology has made a detrimental impact on the Earth since the evolution of mankind. The impact of “humans and lo-technologies can after a long enough time effect large environmental territories” and, “the same effects can occur more rapidly in more technologically maximal and hi-tech contexts” (Ihde, D. 1993). In recent times, our scientists have produced alarming reports that expose how our human behaviours have caused a negative impact on our environment, figure 1 shows the rate of the Earth’s growing temperatures. Scientists have recently published this report, “many low-laying countries say they may disappear under the sea if the 1.5C limit is breached.” By observing our past human behaviours and the damaging consequences they had on the environment, we need to acknowledge this factual and historical evidence and design technologies that can aid farmers and improve our agricultural systems.

Blog Post 1 image_1

Figure 1 (M. McGrath, 2018)

We need to act nowto save our food crops as a response to climate change, we could be facing a change in popular homemade dishes like spaghetti bolognaise. The rate of our climate means we face droughts and hot temperatures which “adversely affect the carrot’s flavour, texture and physical structure” Rebecca Huntley states in an ABC ‘Future Tense’programme. Are we nearing the death of carrots?

Not only does climate change mean our temperatures are getting higher, it also means we are suffering from a lack of rain and are often faced by droughts which can harm our agricultural systems. The introduction of irrigation systems to farming is considered critical to our global food security however there has been an increased demand for non-agricultural uses which has “led to changed water flows, land clearing and therefore deteriorated stream water quality” (Hanjra, M. A. & Qureshi, M. E. 2010). If we address this environmental issue and discontinue the use of irrigation systems, the world will face threats to future global food security.

Today our world consists of “ ‘high’ technologies such as earth observation systems that can provide more accurate weather forecasts, or crops that are based on genetically modified organisms.” (UNFCCC, 2006). We need to keep thinking like this and design more technologies that will respond to the climate extremes. Our governments need to take responsibility and start focusing on legislations that will guide us to a healthier planet.

Hanjra, M. A.  & Qureshi, M. E. 2010, ‘Global Water Crisis and Future Food Security in an Era of Climate Change’ Food Policy,Elsevier,  Australia, viewed 14 October 2018, <https://ac-els-cdn-com.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/S030691921000059X/1-s2.0-S030691921000059X-main.pdf?_tid=8356380a-631f-4520-bfda-c1564b832d2f&acdnat=1539909955_747025ba59d42f4c9ad53fdb1772a4d8&gt;.

Blog Post 1 References:

How to make Spaghetti Bolognese2016, radio program, Future Tense, ABC, Sydney, 4 December.

McGrath, M. 2018, ‘IPCC Scientists Consider ‘Life Changing’ report’, BBC, viewed 14 October 2018, <https://www. bbc.com/news/science-environment-45653099>.

Philosophy of Technology: An Introduction, 1993, ‘Technology’, Paragon House, New York, pp. 47-66.

UNFCCC, 2006, ‘Technologies for Adaptation to Climate Change’, UNON Publishing Services Section, Bonn, Germany.

 

Future through gaming

For the primary research, I have conducted an interview with a co-worker, Lee Witney, whom is a part time game developer.

The question is…

“How has technology changed over their lifetime? what do you this technology will be like in 2040?” 

According to my co-worker, Witney, the technology will be so integrated into our lives that people will take no notice of it. The current innovations in AR/VR/ will be considered as analogue in 2040 were games will transcend disposable entertainment to become much more meaningful experiences. They will also seamlessly interweave with fashion, food, work, travel, shopping as overlays to our everyday lives. Consoles won’t exist…games will be projected directly into the mind with technology like neural lace (advanced AI that merges with your brain).

Whether it is food or game, this interview provided myself an insight on how future how will be a transcendent experience for everyone and that technology will keep on evolving with us.

 


 

 

My Positioning

If you have asked me the question “what would the future looked like to you” i would have said it would look something like this…

 

future image.jpg

PlanetHerul2.jpg

 

Through the research conducted during the scenario project, I have certainly was provided with new knowledge to recognise the pattern of emerging future. By setting the quadrants in thinking and researching about future scenario, it has narrowed it down to specific factors which taught me that future changes according to human needs and protection. 

Our quadrant focused on high tech x extreme climate condition, and it is evident that the extreme climate change plays a huge catalyst as a threat in influencing the society and its city. The change is needed in order to counteract these situations which becomes a building block to design a better future. 

My speculative future scenario evolves around the persona, Mandy Nguyen and her day as a burramandi fish farmer. It gives an insight on her daily activity inside the building. To better understand this speculative future, i have conducted a research to understand the threat, which is how the climate change affects aqua-culture and also recognise our current fish farming methods. The video ‘Catalyst’, exemplifies that in Australia approximately 300 million kilos of seafood are eaten throughout a year and that it is still increasing. The demand is increasing while the climate change are causing fishing to be more difficult specially under high winds and tides etc. 

So to answer the question, I have looked into various futuristic methods on fish production under extreme climate condition. This has lead me to finding out various methods such as Aquapoincs technology which recycles the water. According the research article by Terry Smith, the“oxygen is added to the water and the plants absorb the ammonia and other waste products excreted by the fish”. Because Aquaponics suggets indoor farming the persona is not required to worry about potential pollutions and pests created from climate change. This allows her to produce healthy and chemical free fish without any effort.

Again, through the research of aquaculture and climate change which i have undertaken in my speculative scenario project, my positing towards future has changed more realistically. It is know from the research that it is impossible to continue fishing or operate outdoor fish farm in 2040 and there will be a great demand in meeting people need as the population rises. I no-longer imagine the future to be filled with flying cards and time machine like back to the future, but a future that fulfils societies needs to maintain sustainable living.


Resources:

Malik, F.2016, 10 Future Cities of the World, viewed 20 September 2018, available at <http://www.ibexmag.com/pakistan/lifestyle/10-future-cities-of-the-world/>

Malik, F.2016, PlanetHerul2.jpg, viewed 20 September 2018, available at <http://lookout.wikia.com/wiki/File:PlanetHerul2.jpg>

Smith, T. “Aquaponics: the marriage of fish farming and hydroponics. (2003 Feature Section–‘Themes and Extremes’).” Prairie Garden, Annual 2003, p. 29+. Academic OneFile, http://link.galegroup.com.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/apps/doc/A98922858/AONE?u=uts&sid=AONE &xid=ef718e4d. (Accessed 4 Sept. 2018.)

Philippines: Fish farming in temperature-controlled facilities to help ease climate change effects on marine resources — SEAFDEC. 2015. Asia News Monitor, Oct 06, 2015. http://ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/login?url=https://search-proquest-com.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/docvie w/1719053533?accountid=17095 (Accessed September 4, 2018).

McDonald,P & Kippen, R. (2002) Scenarios for the Future Population of Sydney,Australian Geographer, 33:3, 263-280, DOI: 10.1080/0004918022000028680 (Accessed September 2, 2018).

Wilson,T. 2015, The Demographic Constraints on Future Population Growth in Regional Australia. Australian Geographer 46:1, pages 91-111. Farming with Aquaponics: Growing Fish and Vegetables Together, (Accessed 4 Sept. 2018.)

Series 19 Feeding Australia (Part 1) Foods of Tomorrow, ABC.(Accessed 4 Sept. 2018.) Freepik (2016), Crowds of people Free Vector, (Accessed 4 Sept. 2018.)

Byrne,M. 2013, Toxic: Linfen: A Visit to the Most Polluted City on Earth, motherboard (Accessed 4 Sept. 2018.)

 

Wearable Tech will be the new black

As for part of the group assignment, we came up with a future scenario based on the quadrant, extreme climate change in a highly technological world.  Due to the extreme climate condition, our scenario was developed to counter-face the lack of food resources and production in 2040. Our scenario demonstrates different farming and food production methods adopted by farmers and individuals as well as sustainable power generation to aid them.

Rather then focusing on the food production as the foundation for the prototype, our group dug deeper and specified on the concept of human attitudes and behaviours around food. 

 


 

As the year goes on, technology is becoming more involved in our life than ever before. They are becoming smart, compact and and versatile to fit perfectly into our lifestyle. These emerging technologies are also outsmarting us, were, with just few taps and scrolling, you are able to find the recipe for Michelin star Italian recipes etc.

Such technologies like smartphones became our second brain were they are so involved, we get paranoid if we don’t live a day without one. Thinking about this current technological world with the speculative scenario developed from the previous assignment, it has inspired myself to design a wearable technology that the society in 2040 will possibly have. 

My aim was to create a versatile wearable tech accessory that contribute goods to their world as well as for the users while being fashionable. As lack in food resource is an ongoing issue in our scenario, contributing goods in this instance meant by placing an end to over consumption and wastage.

sketch.jpg
Prototype sketches.

The above illustrates my initial approach to visualising my prototype. Before coming to wearable tech, i have explored the possible prototype in relation to my man-made fishing farm which was one of the speculative scenario for the previous assignment. i have also looked wearable that could also act as protection from extreme climate condition as in the article ‘Practical Fashion Tech’ it is explained that ‘the weather has been an inspiration for technology development since antiquity.

Prototype_visual

When developing this prototype, i have considered the similar approach taken in the article, ‘Fashion Futures 2025′ where one has to recognise the threat to take a suitable action to design to protect its future, environment and improve people lives. The treat is society over-consuming food resources. From this, i have imagine a fast reacting alarming system that can help people stop eating. This lead to a wristband that shocks or tightens one’s arm when one reaches its food limit. However, this was a bit extreme so i have changed the alerting system to vibration. The band will record one’s health profile such as height, weight, health conditions etc, therefore, it will know when one goes over the food limit. The diagram above illustrates other feature food – e – band is equipped wit. 

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Food – e – band fits all the criteria. It is capable of providing the users healthy consumption and eating habit, social interaction with others and customisable aspect maintains its fashionability.

It is truly the new black of 2040.

 


Resources:

Forum for the future 2009, ‘Fashion Futures 2025′, viewed 20 September 2018, <https://www.forumforthefuture.org/fashion-futures-2025>

Horvath.J&Hoge.L,&Cameron.R,2016, ‘Practical Fashion Tech: Wearable Technologies for Costuming, Cosplay, and Everyday’, 1st Apress Berkely, CA, USA. viewed 20 September 2018, <https://link-springer-com.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/book/10.1007%2F978-1-4842-1662-0#toc>

 

Diets and the future

How will diets shift in the future in response to social and environmental change? Will this have a positive or negative effect?

The impact of Climate change can already be felt in the present, and will only increase in the future. The impact of world diet trends is directly relational to the proportion of animal consumption and therefore, the impact of agriculture on the environment.

The effects of farming and food production on climate change is well studied and estimated to be responsible for “up to 30% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, about 70% of freshwater use, and occupies more than one-third of all potentially cultivatable land.” (Aleksandrowicz, 2016) As society progresses, diets worldwide will change according to shifts in societal attitudes towards foods, changes in the environment due to climate change, and the progression of developing nations into prosperity.In regard to developed nations, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization have analysed the environmental impact of low impact “sustainable diets” that are proposed to lower the environmental footprint of food production.

Although the growing threat of overpopulation has been widely publicised, research has presented that the biggest driver of increased food demand will be the changing diets of the worlds growing middle class. From now to 2050, it’s estimated that 40 percent of the world’s population—more than 3 billion people—will transition to a diet heavier in meat, eggs, and dairy. (Tilman, 2011) By mid-century, annual greenhouse gas emissions from food production and clearing of new land for agriculture will be 80 percent higher than in 2009.

 

 

 

References-

Aleksandrowicz, L 2016 “The Impacts of Dietary Change on Greenhouse Gas Emissions, Land Use, Water Use, and Health: A Systematic Review”

Tilman, D 2011 “Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture.”

Cassidy, E 2013 “Redefining agricultural yields: from tonnes to people nourished per hectare.”

 

85202 – 1B: Embracing the Performative Aspects of the Dining Experience

When considering the future, and the methods at hand that allow for prediction, visioning, forecasting (i.e future methodologies), food and it’s production are inextricable factors whose dynamism and intricacies must be considered and ruminated on. Although at centre of political debate, the planet’s changing climate is a major precedent in the urgency placed on governance to facilitate futuring methodology. This blog post will explore the relationship between climate change and food production; achieved through an analysis of the literature that sits at the intersection of climate research, future methodology, and food.

It is argued that the process of futuring and speculative design has immediate impact on the present (Fry, 2009). It can be argued that a consequence of defining the ‘present as future determinant’ is a hegemonic paradigm characterised by an emphasis on quantitative data; the focus on, for example, population (specifically, over population and its consequences), sea levels, CO2 emissions, and waste management. It is not the position of this post to discredit this position, but rather to provide an alternative in the hopes to speculate in a more wholistic and effective fashion. It is the maxim of Design Futuring to speculate beyond the polarity of dystopian and utopian outcomes. As such, in this landscape, designers are reminded that ‘we cannot predict a particular future accurately, by focusing on a range of alternatives, we can better prepare for uncertainty, indeed, to some extent embrace uncertainty’ (Inayatullah 2008, p 6).

Food has constantly been at the centre of cultural dynamism, and there is credence in the connection between the dining experience and this dynamism; it is the way in which we experience food that defines its possibilities. As such, this allows us to pose the question of how can Design Futuring methodology can be utilised upon the dining experience to produce alternatives to a future that seems at the mercy of climate affected food production.

Netflix’s Chef’s Table is an exploration into the machinations of the dining experience – the program examines how different chefs are able to manipulate this experience with reference to their own lives. The trailer for it’s most recent season reveals an exploration with more cultural scope.

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FWDF4uTlOto

Link to trailer

This series touches upon a range of cultural themes but the most pertinent to the scope of this research is the conclusion that food exists beyond its necessity for human survival. The basic notions of nutrition are aspects of biological survival, but the references to cultural pride and history are argued to be just as important when contemplating the place for any dining experience in society, upper class or otherwise. This interaction is the foundation for the development of a prototyped plate design that aims to equalize the dining experience; to showcase how food has an intrinsic performative element that all can access.

 

References

Fry, Tony. 2009 “Design futuring: sustainability, ethics and new practice”. ‘Methods of Change 2 — Designing in Time’ in Design Futuring, Oxford : Berg, pp.145-155.

Inayatullah, S., 2008. Six pillars: futures thinking for transforming. Foresight, 10 (1), 4-21.

Chef’s Table: Season 5 | Official Trailer [HD] | Netflix 2018, youtube video, Netflix on Youtube,

 

Farmer’s recipe for sustainability

Do you think cooking book in 50 years time would consist of same ingredients?

Will we be able to cook accessible dish in the future?

Agriculture heavily relies on the environmental condition to grow. When these requirements does not meet, farmers and agricultural workers would not be able to harvest and produce quality food. Due to the rapid climate change, farmers often are faced with inconsistent weather conditions where Bill from the future tense podcast, How to make spaghetti bolognese, stresses that “its the increasing number and intensity of unusual climate events, huge rainfalls, floods as well as droughts that concern him”.  As crops won’t grow sufficiently in these disrupted conditions, livestocks such as cattle and sheep are, at times, left starving. According to Morphet in the recent article on The Daily Telegraph, the recent NSW drought crisis has left the farmer, Les Jones, to have no choice but slaughter 1200 of his starving sheeps. This also comes with an increase in hay and grain prices where little to no farmers are able to purchase them. As Richard Eckard in the report by University of Melbourne says, this will ultimately reduce the production and “raise more heat tolerant cattle which produce lower quality beef ”.

The production of fruit and vegetable are also being disrupted slowly due to the climate condition. The deformed wiggly carrot has been mentioned by Rebecca in the future tense podcast, were the warm weather plays a huge part in carrot in terms of “flavour, texture and physical structure”.

To combat the climate change which are producing nutrient-less deformed vegetables, crops and meat product, agricultural farmers are required to work closely with scientific research and technology. I have found that CSIRO is one of the leading Australian science organisation whom focuses in developing a food processing technology to produce safe and sustainable food.

This includes the development of solar powered monitoring tool for livestock where, according to CSIRO, farmers are able to weight the livestock, monitor body condition and understand their interaction with the environment remotely. These data will help farmers to recognise a certain pattern in managing livestock which will aid them make timely decisions before climate change like droughts takes over.

 

Their SoilMapp app enables farmers to study and find out about soil in their property. This include the amount of water, clay content, quality and physical characteristics etc. The easily accessible information encourages the idea of sustainability of soils into the future.

OECD was another company I have come across whom focus on agricultural management practices with green growth potential. In their report, they have mentioned that ‘Technology for sustainable development must go beyond raising yields to saving water and energy, reducing risk, improving product quality and protecting the environment” (OECD 2016, p14). 

As Rebecca stresses, “Rest of us needs to change like how climate changes.”, it is evident that we will not have the capacity to reverse the damage caused by climate change in the future, however, we can all learn from it and adopt to minimise the effect. With the technologies being developed by CSIRO and green growth approach suggested by OECD, I am certain that it will extend to the agricultural productivity and sustainability to create safer and nutritious produce in the future.

So the ultimate question is, will we be able to recreate the same food in the future? Personally, I believe we can. With a help of technology and scientific research, we can preserve the same ingredient and recipe for the future generation to enjoy.

 

Reference:

Future Tense (2016), “How to make spaghetti bolognese”, abc, available at:<http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/futuretense/how-to-make-spaghetti-bolognese/8072180>[Viewed 15 Auguest 2018].

CSIRO  (2015), “Creating a ‘digital homestead'” Available at:  <https://www.csiro.au/en/Research/Farming-food/Improving-farming-techniques> [Viewed 15 Aug. 2018].

Morphet, J. (2018) “Silence of the lambs: NSW farmer to shoot starving flock because he can’t afford to feed them ”, The Daily Telegraph, Available at: <https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/technology/science/silence-of-the-lambs-nsw-farmer-to-shoot-starving-flock-because-he-cant-afford-to-feed-them/news-story/73cb7f3e90525214ae89cab3b613d856>[Viewed 16 Aug. 2018].

OECD (2016), “What does organic farming mean for green growth?”, in Farm Management Practices to Foster Green Growth, OECD Publishing, Paris, https://doi-org.ezproxy.lib.uts.edu.au/10.1787/9789264238657-5-en.[Viewed 16 Aug. 2018].

Images are screenshots from CSIRO website.

85202

The mass production of food plays an important role in our future as we begin to face the extremes of climate change which can negatively impact the world’s agriculture. In particular, we need to begin researching and designing technologies that will assist farmers in responding to the earth’s climate. The dangers of droughts, floods, cyclones and other natural disasters, farmers face the challenge of losing their food crops that need to feed the rest of the world.

Throughout history, it is obvious that technology has made an impact on the Earth since the evolution of mankind. The impact of “humans and lo-technologies can after a long enough time effect large environmental territories” and, “the same effects can occur more rapidly in more technologically maximal and hi-tech contexts” (Ihde, D. 1993). However, let’s not forget the positive progression of technology which has led to a, “standard of health which is relatively disease-free” (Ihde, D. 1993). Through researching our past human behaviours and the technological impacts on the environment, we need to be aware of these historical events and design technologies that instead, improve the environment, therefore improving our agricultural systems.

The organization ‘Forum for the Future’ focused on the future of fashion. I can directly relate this to food as both categories face similar challenges of “climate change, resource shortages, population growth” and many more. Their team developed scenarios that were “designed as a tool to challenge companies’ strategies”. This resulted as a successful module as is now being used worldwide. Food, like fashion, is a necessity of our culture, we need to build scenarios and plan for the future.

Perhaps we need to look at the bigger picture and see what we can do nowfor food crops as a response to climate change, we could be facing a change in popular homemade dishes like Spaghetti bolognaise. The rate of our current climate extremes means we face droughts and hot temperatures which “adversely affect the carrot’s flavour, texture and physical structure” Rebecca Huntley states in an ABC ‘Future Tense’programme. Are we nearing to the death of carrots?! However, what if researchers and designers can create a technology that can assist food crops in climate extremes in the future? Is there the possibility for the mass production of carrots to survive?

I have recently watched the film ‘Interstellar’ featuring Mathew McConaughey which is set in the future and displays ideas about the Earth’s future agriculture. Scenes of crop blights and dust storms show the climate’s damaging impact on farming and the threat of human existence. Although the film is fiction, this idea does not seem impossible. People need to understand how damage to food crops can negatively affect the mass production of food.

Climate change plays a serious role in the future therefore humans need to design technologies that will aid farmers in times of extreme temperatures. Statistics show “each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the Earth’s surface than any preceding decade since 1850” (Climate Change Australia, 2016). The mass production of food in the future needs technology to help our agriculture survive.